Accuracy of Predicting the Unemployment Rate in Indonesia

The Covid-19 pandemic has had numerous detrimental effects on Indonesia's economy. One is a rising unemployment rate due to slowing economy, resulting in fewer employment prospects. This study aims forecast the Indonesia between 2023 and 2025, explicitly following pandemic. research utilises time series data for period 2005 2022. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test indicates that are stationary at first difference. method used this forecasting techniques using ARIMA (1,1,1). Predictions indicate increased during can happen increasing termination of (PHK) existence social distancing which causes difficulties working. However, after pandemic, predicted tend decrease. because government policies help community's such as providing stimulus business actors so they maintain their businesses provide security networks informal workers. With it caused decline Covid-19.